Learn from real failures and successes. Make informed decisions based on actual multisig incidents.
Since 2011
Documented cases
Of failure (CEO/founder death)
These are not hypothetical scenarios. These actually happened.
CEO Gerald Cotten died suddenly in India. He was the only person with access to cold wallet private keys. 115,000 customers lost everything.
A 2-of-3 setup with the CTO and CFO would have enabled fund recovery. Instead, $190M became permanently inaccessible.
Hackers exploited a flaw in Bitfinex's multisig implementation with BitGo. Despite using multisig, poor architecture allowed unauthorized transactions.
Implementation matters. Air-gapped keys and manual verification for large transactions would have prevented this.
A Bitcoin early adopter's house burned down, destroying hardware wallet. Thanks to 2-of-3 multisig with geographically distributed keys, funds were fully recovered.
Single-sig would have meant total loss. Multisig with proper distribution meant zero loss despite disaster.
Bitcoin holder died unexpectedly. Family recovered funds because of documented 2-of-3 multisig with attorney holding third key and clear instructions.
Most Bitcoin inheritance fails due to lack of documentation. This family did it right.
Hot wallet theft over years. Single-signature wallets meant once keys were compromised, funds were gone. No multisig protection for customer funds.
Post-Mt. Gox, responsible exchanges adopted multisig cold storage. Single-sig custody is now considered negligent.
Early Bitcoin miner lost his seed phrase during a move. Single-signature wallet meant one mistake = total loss. 50 BTC gone forever.
Losing one key out of three still allows recovery. Single-sig has no forgiveness.
Make decisions and see realistic consequences based on actual incidents
No backup, no redundancy. One mistake = total loss.
Real case: Happened to thousands of early Bitcoin users.
Both keys required, one key lost = funds inaccessible.
Real case: Common with 2-of-2 setups. No redundancy.
Lost 2 keys, still had access. Redundancy saved everything.
Real case: Multiple documented successful recoveries with 2-of-3.
| Configuration | Real-World Success Rate | Best For | Known Failures | Recovery Success |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single-Sig (1-of-1) | ~60% (millions lost) | Small amounts, temporary storage |
QuadrigaCX ($190M) Personal losses (countless) Death without backup (common) |
0% if key lost |
| 2-of-2 | ~75% (moderate risk) | Joint accounts, business partners (with backups) |
One key lost = locked forever Both parties must be available No redundancy |
0% if 1+ keys lost |
| 2-of-3 | ~95% (high success) | Personal savings, family wealth, most users |
House fire recovery ($8M) Inheritance success ($2.5M) Theft protection (multiple cases) |
95%+ with 1 key lost |
| 3-of-5 | ~98% (very high) | High-value holdings, organizations, distributed teams |
Company treasury protection Geographic redundancy Can lose 2 keys safely |
98%+ with 2 keys lost |